{"id":1593,"date":"2026-01-30T16:52:23","date_gmt":"2026-01-30T15:52:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/?post_type=podcast&#038;p=1593"},"modified":"2026-01-30T19:07:07","modified_gmt":"2026-01-30T18:07:07","slug":"folge-13-liquiditaet-frieden-und-die-grenzen-politischer-einflussnahme","status":"publish","type":"podcast","link":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/en\/podcast\/folge-13-liquiditaet-frieden-und-die-grenzen-politischer-einflussnahme\/","title":{"rendered":"Folge 13: Liquidit\u00e4t, Frieden und die Grenzen politischer Einflussnahme"},"content":{"rendered":"[vc_row type=&#8221;in_container&#8221; full_screen_row_position=&#8221;middle&#8221; column_margin=&#8221;default&#8221; column_direction=&#8221;default&#8221; column_direction_tablet=&#8221;default&#8221; column_direction_phone=&#8221;default&#8221; scene_position=&#8221;center&#8221; text_color=&#8221;light&#8221; text_align=&#8221;left&#8221; row_border_radius=&#8221;none&#8221; row_border_radius_applies=&#8221;bg&#8221; row_position_desktop=&#8221;default&#8221; row_position_tablet=&#8221;inherit&#8221; row_position_phone=&#8221;inherit&#8221; overflow=&#8221;visible&#8221; overlay_strength=&#8221;0.3&#8243; gradient_direction=&#8221;left_to_right&#8221; shape_divider_position=&#8221;bottom&#8221; bg_image_animation=&#8221;none&#8221; gradient_type=&#8221;default&#8221; shape_type=&#8221;&#8221;][vc_column column_padding=&#8221;no-extra-padding&#8221; column_padding_tablet=&#8221;inherit&#8221; column_padding_phone=&#8221;inherit&#8221; column_padding_position=&#8221;all&#8221; flex_gap_desktop=&#8221;10px&#8221; column_element_direction_desktop=&#8221;default&#8221; column_element_spacing=&#8221;default&#8221; desktop_text_alignment=&#8221;default&#8221; tablet_text_alignment=&#8221;default&#8221; phone_text_alignment=&#8221;default&#8221; background_color_opacity=&#8221;1&#8243; background_hover_color_opacity=&#8221;1&#8243; column_backdrop_filter=&#8221;none&#8221; column_shadow=&#8221;none&#8221; column_border_radius=&#8221;none&#8221; column_link_target=&#8221;_self&#8221; column_position=&#8221;default&#8221; gradient_direction=&#8221;left_to_right&#8221; overlay_strength=&#8221;0.3&#8243; width=&#8221;1\/1&#8243; tablet_width_inherit=&#8221;default&#8221; animation_type=&#8221;default&#8221; bg_image_animation=&#8221;none&#8221; border_type=&#8221;simple&#8221; column_border_width=&#8221;none&#8221; column_border_style=&#8221;solid&#8221;][vc_row_inner column_margin=&#8221;default&#8221; column_direction=&#8221;default&#8221; column_direction_tablet=&#8221;default&#8221; column_direction_phone=&#8221;default&#8221; top_padding=&#8221;60&#8243; bottom_padding=&#8221;60&#8243; translate_x=&#8221;50&#8243; translate_x_tablet=&#8221;0&#8243; text_align=&#8221;left&#8221; row_position=&#8221;default&#8221; row_position_tablet=&#8221;inherit&#8221; row_position_phone=&#8221;inherit&#8221; overflow=&#8221;visible&#8221; pointer_events=&#8221;all&#8221;][vc_column_inner column_padding=&#8221;no-extra-padding&#8221; column_padding_tablet=&#8221;inherit&#8221; column_padding_phone=&#8221;inherit&#8221; column_padding_position=&#8221;all&#8221; flex_gap_desktop=&#8221;10px&#8221; column_element_direction_desktop=&#8221;default&#8221; column_element_spacing=&#8221;default&#8221; desktop_text_alignment=&#8221;default&#8221; tablet_text_alignment=&#8221;default&#8221; phone_text_alignment=&#8221;default&#8221; background_color_opacity=&#8221;1&#8243; background_hover_color_opacity=&#8221;1&#8243; column_backdrop_filter=&#8221;none&#8221; column_shadow=&#8221;none&#8221; column_border_radius=&#8221;none&#8221; column_link_target=&#8221;_self&#8221; overflow=&#8221;visible&#8221; gradient_direction=&#8221;left_to_right&#8221; overlay_strength=&#8221;0.3&#8243; width=&#8221;1\/5&#8243; tablet_width_inherit=&#8221;default&#8221; animation_type=&#8221;default&#8221; bg_image_animation=&#8221;none&#8221; border_type=&#8221;simple&#8221; column_border_width=&#8221;none&#8221; column_border_style=&#8221;solid&#8221; column_padding_type=&#8221;default&#8221; gradient_type=&#8221;default&#8221; offset=&#8221;vc_col-lg-1\/5 vc_col-md-2 vc_col-xs-2&#8243;][nectar_circle_images images=&#8221;1036&#8243; sizing=&#8221;180&#8243; positioning=&#8221;standard&#8221; alignment_desktop=&#8221;left&#8221; alignment_tablet=&#8221;inherit&#8221; alignment_phone=&#8221;inherit&#8221; animation=&#8221;none&#8221; image_size=&#8221;large&#8221; image_loading=&#8221;default&#8221;][\/vc_column_inner][vc_column_inner column_padding=&#8221;no-extra-padding&#8221; column_padding_tablet=&#8221;padding-2-percent&#8221; column_padding_phone=&#8221;padding-1-percent&#8221; column_padding_position=&#8221;all&#8221; flex_gap_desktop=&#8221;10px&#8221; column_element_direction_desktop=&#8221;default&#8221; column_element_spacing=&#8221;default&#8221; desktop_text_alignment=&#8221;default&#8221; tablet_text_alignment=&#8221;default&#8221; phone_text_alignment=&#8221;default&#8221; background_color_opacity=&#8221;1&#8243; background_hover_color_opacity=&#8221;1&#8243; column_backdrop_filter=&#8221;none&#8221; column_shadow=&#8221;none&#8221; column_border_radius=&#8221;none&#8221; column_link_target=&#8221;_self&#8221; overflow=&#8221;visible&#8221; gradient_direction=&#8221;left_to_right&#8221; overlay_strength=&#8221;0.3&#8243; width=&#8221;7\/12&#8243; tablet_width_inherit=&#8221;default&#8221; animation_type=&#8221;default&#8221; bg_image_animation=&#8221;none&#8221; border_type=&#8221;simple&#8221; column_border_width=&#8221;none&#8221; column_border_style=&#8221;solid&#8221; column_padding_type=&#8221;default&#8221; gradient_type=&#8221;default&#8221; offset=&#8221;vc_col-lg-7 vc_col-md-10 vc_col-xs-10&#8243;][nectar_badge display_tag=&#8221;body&#8221; badge_style=&#8221;default&#8221; bg_color_type=&#8221;global&#8221; color=&#8221;extra-color-2&#8243; text_color=&#8221;#ffffff&#8221; padding=&#8221;small&#8221; border_radius=&#8221;3px&#8221; display=&#8221;block&#8221; text=&#8221;30. Januar 2026&#8243;][vc_column_text css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1769796355914{margin-top: 30px !important;margin-bottom: 30px !important;}&#8221; text_direction=&#8221;default&#8221;]\n<h3>In der Januar-Ausgabe von &#8220;Bellerive on Air&#8221; ordnet Dr. Thomas Steinemann die Erwartungen an die Finanzm\u00e4rkte 2026 ein und relativiert dabei den tats\u00e4chlichen Einfluss von US-Pr\u00e4sident Donald Trump. Entscheidend f\u00fcr die Marktentwicklung seien weniger politische Schlagzeilen als vielmehr globale Liquidit\u00e4t, Geldpolitik und makro\u00f6konomische Fundamentaldaten. Trotz politischer Unruhe h\u00e4tten die M\u00e4rkte deshalb eine gute Resilienz gezeigt.<\/h3>\n[\/vc_column_text][nectar_responsive_text inherited_font_style=&#8221;default&#8221; text_color=&#8221;rgba(255,255,255,0.7)&#8221; text_direction=&#8221;default&#8221; font_size_desktop=&#8221;16px&#8221; font_size_phone=&#8221;14px&#8221; font_line_height=&#8221;1.6&#8243;]Ein zentrales Thema ist die Aussicht auf geopolitische Entspannung, insbesondere im Ukraine-Krieg. Steinemann skizziert, weshalb selbst ein fragiler Frieden psychologisch wie \u00f6konomisch positiv wirken k\u00f6nnte &#8211; nicht zuletzt durch Investitionen in Wiederaufbau, Industrie und Rohstoffe. Gleichzeitig betont er, dass solche Entwicklungen kaum ohne Zugest\u00e4ndnisse m\u00f6glich seien.<\/p>\n<p>Im Ausblick auf Risiken nennt er den Bankensektor und die Geldpolitik als zentrale Beobachtungsfelder. W\u00e4hrend sich die Verschuldungskennzahlen der Banken zuletzt verbessert haben, bleibt die Zinsentwicklung &#8211; insbesondere in den USA &#8211; ein entscheidender Faktor f\u00fcr den weiteren Liquidit\u00e4tszyklus. F\u00fcr 2026 rechnet Steinemann eher mit einer Marktberuhigung als mit einem abrupten Einbruch; gr\u00f6ssere Korrekturen sieht er fr\u00fchestens gegen Ende 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Weitere Schwerpunkte sind die massiven Investitionen in K\u00fcnstliche Intelligenz, die Chancen f\u00fcr Produktivit\u00e4tsgewinne bieten, aber auch das Risiko von \u00dcberinvestitionen bergen. Zudem analysiert Steinemann die anhaltende Dollar-Schw\u00e4che, die aus US-Sicht differenziert zu bewerten ist, sowie die fiskalische Entwicklung in Deutschland, deren steigende Verschuldung mittelfristig Belastungen f\u00fcr den Euro mit sich bringen k\u00f6nnte. Insgesamt pl\u00e4diert er f\u00fcr eine n\u00fcchterne, diversifizierte Positionierung in einem weiterhin von Liquidit\u00e4t, aber auch von strukturellen Verschiebungen gepr\u00e4gten Marktumfeld.[\/nectar_responsive_text][nectar_responsive_text inherited_font_style=&#8221;default&#8221; text_color=&#8221;rgba(255,255,255,0.7)&#8221; text_direction=&#8221;default&#8221; font_size_desktop=&#8221;16px&#8221; font_size_phone=&#8221;14px&#8221; font_line_height=&#8221;1.6&#8243;]\u00abBellerive on Air\u00bb ist ein Finanzpodcast f\u00fcr die Kundinnen und Kunden der Privatbank Bellerive AG. Chief Investment Officer Dr. Thomas Steinemann kommentiert in einem rund 15-min\u00fctigen Gespr\u00e4ch rund sechs Mal pro Jahr das globale Finanz- und Wirtschaftsgeschehen sowie ausgew\u00e4hlte Anlagethemen.[\/nectar_responsive_text][divider line_type=&#8221;No Line&#8221; custom_height=&#8221;60&#8243; custom_height_tablet=&#8221;60&#8243;][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner][nectar_global_section id=&#8221;286&#8243;][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"In Folge 13 von \u00abBellerive on Air\u00bb analysiert Dr. Thomas Steinemann die Finanzm\u00e4rkte 2026: den begrenzten Einfluss der Politik, die Rolle von Liquidit\u00e4t und Geldpolitik, geopolitische Entspannung, KI-Investitionen sowie Risiken f\u00fcr Dollar, Banken und den Euro.","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1028,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"episode_type":"audio","audio_file":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/Bellerive_On_Air_-_1_2026.mp3","podmotor_file_id":"","podmotor_episode_id":"","cover_image":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/On-Air-02-mini.jpg","cover_image_id":"1028","duration":"00:18:59","filesize":"34.76M","filesize_raw":"36450304","date_recorded":"2026-01-30","explicit":"","block":"","itunes_episode_number":"","itunes_title":"","itunes_season_number":"","itunes_episode_type":""},"tags":[],"series":[10],"class_list":["post-1593","podcast","type-podcast","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","series-bellerive-on-air"],"episode_featured_image":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/On-Air-02-mini.jpg","episode_player_image":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/02\/On-Air-02-mini.jpg","download_link":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/en\/podcast-download\/1593\/folge-13-liquiditaet-frieden-und-die-grenzen-politischer-einflussnahme","player_link":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/en\/podcast-player\/1593\/folge-13-liquiditaet-frieden-und-die-grenzen-politischer-einflussnahme","audio_player":null,"episode_data":{"playerMode":"dark","subscribeUrls":{"amazon":{"key":"amazon","url":"","label":"Amazon","class":"amazon","icon":"amazon.png"},"audible":{"key":"audible","url":"","label":"Audible","class":"audible","icon":"audible.png"},"apple_podcasts":{"key":"apple_podcasts","url":"","label":"Apple Podcasts","class":"apple_podcasts","icon":"apple-podcasts.png"},"google_podcasts":{"key":"google_podcasts","url":"","label":"Google Podcasts","class":"google_podcasts","icon":"google-podcasts.png"},"spotify":{"key":"spotify","url":"","label":"Spotify","class":"spotify","icon":"spotify.png"},"stitcher":{"key":"stitcher","url":"","label":"Stitcher","class":"stitcher","icon":"stitcher.png"},"itunes":{"key":"itunes","url":"","label":"iTunes","class":"itunes","icon":"itunes.png"}},"rssFeedUrl":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/en\/feed\/podcast\/bellerive-on-air","embedCode":"<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"AUmZTJouGE\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/en\/podcast\/folge-13-liquiditaet-frieden-und-die-grenzen-politischer-einflussnahme\/\">Folge 13: Liquidit\u00e4t, Frieden und die Grenzen politischer Einflussnahme<\/a><\/blockquote><iframe sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" src=\"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/en\/podcast\/folge-13-liquiditaet-frieden-und-die-grenzen-politischer-einflussnahme\/embed\/#?secret=AUmZTJouGE\" width=\"500\" height=\"350\" title=\"&#8220;Folge 13: Liquidit\u00e4t, Frieden und die Grenzen politischer Einflussnahme&#8221; &#8212; Bellerive\" data-secret=\"AUmZTJouGE\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\" class=\"wp-embedded-content\"><\/iframe><script>\n\/*! This file is auto-generated *\/\n!function(d,l){\"use strict\";l.querySelector&&d.addEventListener&&\"undefined\"!=typeof URL&&(d.wp=d.wp||{},d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage||(d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage=function(e){var t=e.data;if((t||t.secret||t.message||t.value)&&!\/[^a-zA-Z0-9]\/.test(t.secret)){for(var s,r,n,a=l.querySelectorAll('iframe[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),o=l.querySelectorAll('blockquote[data-secret=\"'+t.secret+'\"]'),c=new RegExp(\"^https?:$\",\"i\"),i=0;i<o.length;i++)o[i].style.display=\"none\";for(i=0;i<a.length;i++)s=a[i],e.source===s.contentWindow&&(s.removeAttribute(\"style\"),\"height\"===t.message?(1e3<(r=parseInt(t.value,10))?r=1e3:~~r<200&&(r=200),s.height=r):\"link\"===t.message&&(r=new URL(s.getAttribute(\"src\")),n=new URL(t.value),c.test(n.protocol))&&n.host===r.host&&l.activeElement===s&&(d.top.location.href=t.value))}},d.addEventListener(\"message\",d.wp.receiveEmbedMessage,!1),l.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\",function(){for(var e,t,s=l.querySelectorAll(\"iframe.wp-embedded-content\"),r=0;r<s.length;r++)(t=(e=s[r]).getAttribute(\"data-secret\"))||(t=Math.random().toString(36).substring(2,12),e.src+=\"#?secret=\"+t,e.setAttribute(\"data-secret\",t)),e.contentWindow.postMessage({message:\"ready\",secret:t},\"*\")},!1)))}(window,document);\n\/\/# sourceURL=https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/wp-includes\/js\/wp-embed.min.js\n<\/script>\n"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/podcast\/1593","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/podcast"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/podcast"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1593"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1028"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1593"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1593"},{"taxonomy":"series","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.bellerivebanking.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/series?post=1593"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}